Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 3.949173 4.222002 4.513376 4.849280 5.227832 5.643624 6.138159
2025-09-21 3.450096 3.817297 4.232741 4.743346 5.362298 6.099641 7.062608
2025-09-28 3.166277 3.579207 4.063862 4.685343 5.477705 6.479146 7.885274
2025-10-05 2.994259 3.443632 3.987090 4.709224 5.671141 6.953590 8.882604
2025-10-12 2.881024 3.363658 3.962982 4.785434 5.926671 7.528943 10.113818
2025-10-19 2.785667 3.294973 3.942216 4.856396 6.173453 8.115871 11.476801
2025-10-26 2.688544 3.214953 3.897128 4.884853 6.355810 8.624781 12.822729
2025-11-02 2.582498 3.115267 3.816669 4.853147 6.440222 8.985033 13.986807
2025-11-09 2.452298 2.975728 3.672266 4.716086 6.345764 9.032314 14.554880
2025-11-16 2.350894 2.869651 3.567480 4.628286 6.318072 9.186237 15.377029
2025-11-23 2.298414 2.827114 3.548360 4.665492 6.493236 9.721574 17.189963
2025-11-30 2.242879 2.777253 3.515259 4.677527 6.625644 10.196079 19.031864
2025-12-07 2.138568 2.658556 3.381962 4.532669 6.489969 10.160422 19.647200
2025-12-14 2.055099 2.566552 3.284188 4.439214 6.438543 10.293356 20.813970
2025-12-21 1.989710 2.497143 3.215708 4.387069 6.454017 10.565105 22.520688
2025-12-28 1.948789 2.460711 3.193953 4.408524 6.604844 11.154244 25.590977
2026-01-04 1.922676 2.444209 3.200802 4.476942 6.850570 12.009816 30.299868
2026-01-11 1.896963 2.426924 3.205086 4.540583 7.093991 12.920521 36.235600
2026-01-18 1.863857 2.397224 3.188326 4.566087 7.263421 13.689502 42.581382
2026-01-25 1.820574 2.350696 3.142872 4.537671 7.317711 14.166180 48.105317
2026-02-01 1.758797 2.274525 3.047533 4.414688 7.159841 14.017905 49.492304
2026-02-08 1.709738 2.216155 2.978560 4.335782 7.090687 14.117878 52.946953
2026-02-15 1.687240 2.197173 2.971775 4.369231 7.270134 15.002739 64.660536